Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.235041 0.325255 0.426266 0.545451 0.680211 0.826128 0.994453
2025-07-06 0.123825 0.237905 0.384301 0.574083 0.804306 1.067234 1.383745
2025-07-13 0.079550 0.202214 0.376554 0.616338 0.918885 1.273992 1.710326
2025-07-20 0.048897 0.172573 0.367891 0.651143 1.020315 1.462978 2.015351
2025-07-27 0.034784 0.163251 0.383157 0.713701 1.153471 1.687710 2.360502
2025-08-03 0.021281 0.147138 0.384100 0.754058 1.256566 1.874846 2.660343
2025-08-10 0.008675 0.120886 0.363278 0.760178 1.312673 2.002456 2.887484
2025-08-17 0.000404 0.081619 0.310314 0.713354 1.294340 2.034308 2.996275
2025-08-24 NaN 0.049356 0.258149 0.660256 1.262343 2.045161 3.076331
2025-08-31 NaN 0.032571 0.230775 0.641825 1.275189 2.111000 3.222208
2025-09-07 NaN 0.024166 0.220116 0.649244 1.323488 2.222001 3.423750
2025-09-14 NaN 0.015266 0.202193 0.641736 1.348872 2.302155 3.586051
2025-09-21 NaN 0.007217 0.179234 0.624661 1.362461 2.370838 3.740022
2025-09-28 NaN 0.005913 0.184660 0.661167 1.456942 2.548660 4.034272
2025-10-05 NaN 0.005394 0.193957 0.704988 1.562296 2.740865 4.346595
2025-10-12 NaN 0.004508 0.200192 0.742780 1.658643 2.921222 4.644192
2025-10-19 NaN 0.005684 0.220992 0.809604 1.799392 3.161545 5.018551
2025-10-26 NaN 0.005177 0.229835 0.852736 1.904153 3.353596 5.331564
2025-11-02 NaN 0.002691 0.220618 0.859256 1.952758 3.469887 5.547861
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000062 0.185469 0.809262 1.912457 3.464670 5.607721
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.150196 0.752446 1.858033 3.437909 5.638051
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.133085 0.732691 1.860466 3.487760 5.765994
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.127984 0.740645 1.907407 3.599166 5.973897